USA

Working Paper - IS AMERICA DISILLUSIONED, DISAPPOINTED, DEPRESSED AND DECLINING?

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
21/8/2024

Foreword

After the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, the peak period of US hegemony began. The country was dominant in many spheres of power such as military, economic, political and cultural.

Francis Fukuyama, a bureaucratic functionary at the US Department of State declared, with much pomp and ceremony, that history had ended and US was the triumphant trophy of liberal democracy.

Working Paper - TAIWAN DISPUTED BY CHINA AND THE US. A LIKELY FUTURE WAR?

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
18/8/2024

Foreword

The relationship between China and Taiwan has been a long-standing geopolitical issue that has captivated international attention for decades.

Working Paper - NATO AT 75: A TIME FOR CELEBRATION?

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
13/7/2024

Foreword

When an institution reaches its 75th anniversary, its supporters offer up a rose-colored litany of its accomplishments, virtues, and remarkable longevity. The NATO summit in Washington was no exception with plenty of speeches celebrating the alliance's past achievements and extolling its role as the cornerstone of trans-Atlantic relations.

Working Paper - CHINA, RUSSIA & THE US: 3 ACTORS, 1 IN SEARCH OF A ROLE (THE US)

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
4/7/2024

Foreword

China's Xi Jinping and Russia's Vladimir Putin on May 16 2024 pledged a new era of partnership between the two most powerful rivals of the United States, which they cast as an aggressive Cold War hegemon sowing chaos across the world.

Working Paper - HOW LONG CAN THE UNITED STATES STAY AS A SUPERPOWER?

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
8/6/2024

Foreword

Superpower is a state or supranational union that holds a dominant position characterized by the ability to exert influence or exert power on a global scale through economic, military, technological and political means.

Working Paper - QUI EST L’AGRESSEUR ? SELON CARL SCHMITT ou SELON HANS KELSEN ? L’IMPACT DU CONFLIT UKRAINIEN SUR LA RELATION FRANCO-ALLEMANDE.

DIVERGENCE MACRON /SCHOLZ SUR LE ROLE DE L’AMERIQUE. Les Enseignements du capitaine de Gaulle in : « La discorde chez l’ennemi »
Auteur: 
Irnerio Seminatore
Date de publication: 
8/6/2024

TABLE DES MATIERES

- Qui est l’agresseur ? L’hostilité et l’intérêt vital

- La « Souveraineté » (C.Schmitt) contre la « Groundnorm » (H.Kelsen)
- Renforcement ou affaiblissement des alliances ?
- Contexte historique et évolution des alliances. 

Working Paper - THE END OF FRANÇAFRIQUE AND THE RETURN OF IMPERIALIST COMPETITION

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
25/5/2024

Foreword

For decades, France maintained control over its former African colonies by supporting local strongmen. The 2023 coups in Niger and Gabon against governments accused of being aligned with Paris show that the informal French empire is disintegrating.

Working Paper - A KOREAN-STYLE ARMISTICE TO END THE FIGHTING IN UKRAINE?

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
13/4/2024

Foreword

The Russo-Ukrainian war risks following the usual pattern of other interstate conflicts since 1946: absent the end of fighting during the first year, conventional wars last over a decade on average. The most likely endings are a frozen conflict or cease-fire potentially sooner than a decade, and perhaps, over time, a negotiated armistice.

Working Paper - GLOBAL RISKS, CHALLENGES, BALLOTS AND BULLETS

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
24/3/2024

Foreword

2024 is a year of global risks, challenges, ballots and bullets.

Working Paper - QUO VADIS, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE?

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
25/2/2024

Foreword

Rarely a week passes without announcements that Artificial Intelligence (AI) has achieved new capabilities. Since the arrival of Generative AI, ChatGPT, and subsequent Large Language Models (LLMs)  discussion of AI's proliferating uses and their implications is increasingly visible in mainstream media.

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