Défense/Stratégie

Foreword

In the first 100 days of Russia’s war on Ukraine, European public opinion helped to solidify Europe’s political response. But on 15 June 2022 the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) revealed that diverging public preferences could weaken this unity.

Foreword

The war in Ukraine has not reassembled a world into blocks. Westerners are surprised to find themselves "alone in the world".

Many countries of the South abstained or did not stand for the vote on "Aggression against Ukraine" at the UN General Assembly on March 24th. 

Foreword

BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) met in China for the 14^th Summit.

The BRICS nations have a populations of 3 billion and  the IMF suggest that BRICS could be responsible for 50% of all global trade by the 2030’s.

How long can Ukraine keep up the fight?

Ukraine is now losing at least 100 soldiers each day in combat. By way of comparison, just short of 50 American soldiers died per day on average in 1968 during the Vietnam War's deadliest year for US Forces.

Foreword

We are living in a a world characterized by the return of inter-state threats and great power competition. How much emphasis should US put on Russia as opposed to the more systemic challenge represented by China’s strategic rise? And what should be the right balance between the military and non-military aspects of great power competition? 

Foreword

The war in Ukraine is far from over. It seems likely to go on for weeks or months or even years, whether as a grinding back-and-forth conflict, an insurgency fighting to overturn an occupation, or a global cataclysm. Meanwhile Western countries demand Russia follows international law: so why don’t they?

L'ordre européen de l'équilibre des forces entre l'Est et l'Ouest a pris fin le 24 février 2022 avec l'ouverture des hostilités en Ukraine et le principe de légitimité de cet ordre s'est effondré avec les élections du Parlement européen du mois de mai 2019, avec l'affrontement radical entre souverainistes et globalistes, quant au primat du régime politique qui fonde la souveraineté de la loi nationale ou supranationale. 

Foreword

Russian gas exports are beginning to reverse their flow, swapping western destinations for eastern ones and essentially following Russia's geopolitical shift.

Clausewitz et ses enseignements

Poutine, l'icône vivante des Tsars