Asie Centrale

Working Paper - QUO VADIS, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE?

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
25/2/2024

Foreword

Rarely a week passes without announcements that Artificial Intelligence (AI) has achieved new capabilities. Since the arrival of Generative AI, ChatGPT, and subsequent Large Language Models (LLMs)  discussion of AI's proliferating uses and their implications is increasingly visible in mainstream media.

Working Paper - GEOPOLITICAL INSTABILITY IN THE WESTERN BALKANS

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
2/12/2023

Foreword

With EU enlargement back on the political agenda, the West has an opportunity to revitalise its policy toward the Western Balkans. This June marked twenty years since the 2003 Thessaloniki Summit, where EU leaders declared that the “future of the Balkans is within the European Union.”

Working Paper - QUO VADIS, TURKEY?

THE NEW OTTOMAN EMPIRE
Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
2/12/2023

Foreword

Erdogan has announced a new perspective on foreign policy for Turkey’s second century. He has named the long-term foreign policy vision as the “Century of Turkey” and declared his determination for building a “Turkey Axis”.

Working Paper - FLASHPOINTS AROUND THE GLOBE

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
16/10/2023

Foreword

On 19 September 2023, opening the Annual General Assembly, UN Secretary General Guterres urged Statesmanship, not Gamesmanship and Gridlock to resolve global challenges and geopolitical tensions.

Working Paper - UNITED STATES AND NATO VERSUS BRICS AND SCO

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
19/3/2023

Foreword

BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) and SCO ( Shanghai Cooperation Organization: China, Russia, India, Pakistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan  ) have become a new pole of power in the world and their role is becoming more significant every day.

Working Paper - THE WAR IN UKRAINE AND THE FUTURE GLOBAL ORDER

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
18/6/2022

Foreword

We are living in a a world characterized by the return of inter-state threats and great power competition. How much emphasis should US put on Russia as opposed to the more systemic challenge represented by China’s strategic rise? And what should be the right balance between the military and non-military aspects of great power competition? 

Working Paper - QUI GOUVERNERA LE SYSTÈME MONDIAL DE DEMAIN ? POUR QUEL TYPE D'ORDRE ? ET DANS QUELLE PERSPECTIVE GLOBALE ?

Auteur: 
Irnerio Seminatore
Date de publication: 
17/5/2022

L'ordre européen de l'équilibre des forces entre l'Est et l'Ouest a pris fin le 24 février 2022 avec l'ouverture des hostilités en Ukraine et le principe de légitimité de cet ordre s'est effondré avec les élections du Parlement européen du mois de mai 2019, avec l'affrontement radical entre souverainistes et globalistes, quant au primat du régime politique qui fonde la souveraineté de la loi nationale ou supranationale. 

Working Paper - QUO VADIS, UKRAINE?

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
2/4/2022

Foreword

Putin played one of his biggest cards on  March 31, demanding European energy buyers start paying in roubles from April 1 or have existing contracts halted.

Russia and Ukraine on April 1 resumed peace talks by video conference as Moscow accused Kyiv of carrying out its first air strike on Russian soil, further dashing hopes of any de-escalation in the Ukraine war.

Working Paper - THE END OF LIBYA’S SECURITY NIGHTMARE?

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
16/5/2021

Foreword

Working Paper - LIBYA, QUO VADIS?

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
24/6/2020

Foreword

The ongoing war in Libya is a microcosm of the tragedy that has gripped many Middle East countries. If it is not resolved soon, the fighting in Libya could sow instability in Tunisia and Egypt, and trigger more waves of refugees fleeing to Europe.

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