QUO VADIS, EUROPE?

Auteur: 
Giorgio Spagnol
Date de publication: 
21/4/2025

Foreword

Israel continues with absolute serenity to commit daily massacres of civilians, including children. There is no rule of international law, human law, international humanitarian law, UN resolution or simple human decency that Israel has not systematically, continuously violated.

In this context, the European Union (EU) has not even managed to obtain a humanitarian truce in Palestine, let alone condemn Israel, let alone promote sanctions.

Meanwhile, with the European Parliament's favorable vote on the rearmament plan, democracy in Europe has been overwhelmed by the conquest of the institutions and the media, from within, by the financial oligarchy and its employees.

The Franco-English axis wants to wage war on Russia, the risk is very high. Europe is at war, rearming, thinking about freeing itself from the USA after suddenly discovering that the USA is imperialist, ugly and bad.

The EU is and remains an economic organization that is unable to transform its economic strength into political and military strength.

A militarily very strong Germany with 1,000 billion euros is in the make. It will not miss this historic opportunity: its colossal rearmament plan is already approved.

Israel

Israel continues to kill civilians.  It has done so for 16 months, and now it has resumed, it seems for purely internal reasons of balance of power.  The alternative posed to the Palestinian people is between the "final solution" (complete genocide) and “ethnic cleansing” (removal of the population somewhere). There is no rule of international laws that Israel has not systematically, continuously violated.

Are still categorical imperative of the EU: to defend without hesitation “European values”, “human rights”, the “rule of law”, “international law”, “democracy”?

In this context, the European Union, the one of the “European dream”, wants to extract 800 billion euros from its citizens' savings to break Russia’s back (in 2030). Well, the destruction of the EU by Russia is fantasy politics.

Rearm against Russia

With the European Parliament's favorable vote on the rearmament plan the channels available to the population to express themselves in politically significant terms have all been either closed or neutralized. Partly it happened with changes to the electoral laws, partly by making the democratic process contestable only by those who had significant funding available, partly by occupying the media system at all levels and expelling those who did not conform to writing under dictation,

At the end of the process, a citizenry with various debts will be in chains even if formally free: conditioned and subject to blackmail at every step. Irreversible economic indebtedness will be the new form of coercion. No longer the antiquated models of violent servitude, of slavery, but a clean system, contractually impeccable, and yet much more stringent and detailed than any past master-slave relationship. This is the future that knocks on the door, and the glimmers in which possible margins of reaction still present themselves - assuming that they still exist - are closing rapidly.

The icing on the cake: with the rearmament plan the 27 European states have obtained permission to exceed the constraints of the stability pact on budgets not for health, school, research, social spending but to buy weapons, each for himself. But there will remain 27 armies with incompatible doctrine, weapons and technologies, which do not communicate with each other. USA has 1 tank, the EU 6; USA has 6 fighter-bombers, the EU 18. Thus, a waste of EU financial resources for the sole benefit of the armament manufacturers.

Russia

Does the European Union really need to start an arms race to defend itself from a Russian aggression?

1) What are the assets, the material values that Russia might want from Europe? Mineral deposits? Uranium stockpiles? Natural gas deposits? Oil fields? Cultivable land? No, it is quite obvious that in all these things it is Europe that is lacking, in addition to being a net importer of the related products.

2) Russia has a territory of over 17 million square kilometers, the European Union as a whole is just over 4 million square kilometers. So the Russian territory is more than 4 times that of the EU. The EU population density is 105 inhabitants per square kilometer, the Russian population density is 8 inhabitants per square kilometer. So Russia already has a significant problem in occupying its own territory. Since when does a country with infinite land, comparatively few population, but colossal mineral and energy resources, want to conquer a territorially small, overpopulated and resourceless area? In fact, historically it has always been the opposite: Western Europe has repeatedly tried to conquer the Russian East, according to the iron geopolitical logic by which areas with a high population density, and few resources seek to expand into areas with a low population density and vast resources.

3) Is rearmament perhaps necessary because Russian military spending is aggressively superior to that of Europe? Europe spends 38% more on armaments than the Russian Federation. Therefore, to say that there is an investment gap to be filled is simply false. It is simply a matter of spending better EU money.

4) If EU is truly worried about the threat of war represented by a possible Russian aggression, what attitude would be advisable?

If the European leaders wanted to reduce the danger of a Russian threat, the way to achieve this is very easy: remove sanctions, reopen trade and investments, reopen the North Stream 2. Suddenly the reasons for a conflict would decrease vertically, and simultaneously, with low-cost raw materials and energy resources, the European capacity to supply goods of interest to the rest of the world (including Russia) would increase.

5) Given that on the geopolitical level the EU would have reasons to attack Russia, while Russia has no reasons to attack Europe, the EU strategy of:

a) increasing military spending explicitly oriented towards anti-Russian function

b) maintaining sanctions and permanent blockade of trade relations with Russia

represents precisely the most effective strategy to maximize the risks of a conflict. In the name of security needs Europe is increasing insecurity.

The Franco-English axis

The Franco-English axis wants to wage war on Russia.  Europe is at war, rearming, thinking about freeing itself from the USA now considered imperialist, ugly and bad. It is perhaps the case of having a certain tenderness towards the dominant journalistic class that has suffered a trauma and therefore has enormous problems in readjusting the coordinates. In the most widely circulated newspapers almost every day there are very harsh editorials of controversy not only against the United States (not anymore called the greatest democracy in the world) but also against their current president. So there is a problem: the orchestra is in difficulty.

But perhaps the most serious issue beyond these torments is what remains of the structure of the EU. Very little remains because on the one hand the British Prime Minister who heads the government of a state that left the EU, and now commands with Macron, has entered the scene in a very forceful way, ignoring that there is a structure that was called EU. A radical change that takes away a lot of weight from the so-called pre-existing European structure.

Then, given the pressing and delirious demand for weapons at all costs, there is endless money that is needed taken from the NRRP by removing the stability pact. By allocating the NRRP to weapons and not to the purposes for which it was granted, if the stability pact is repealed, if UK is made room as leader, the EU no longer exists together with its choreography and its parliament where useless rallies are held.

The EU has ceased to exist or at least is in hibernation. An alarming data because at this point there is an Anglo-French directory in the hands of reckless people ready to take the extreme step of directly waging war on Russia at all costs. The risk of a general conflagration is very high. Not a reassuring picture.

Trump

Trump is a caricatured character on a private, behavioral level. He does not arouse sympathy having suprematist ideas on the destinies of the world. But this puts him on the same level as many other heads of government who have made the same politics with less violent tones. So the scandal of EU newspapers makes people smile a little. Often distorted news are disseminated: the now unstoppable decline of Trump's government with internal cracks, the opposition, the hostile demonstrations, the discontent. Never believe the first and superficial information. There will be problems, but not the decline hoped for by EU press organs.

Trumps wants to restore individual relationships with the individual powers, large or small, with which to have a proportional relationship. Japan, a type of US colony, will obtain a reduction in duties. With Russia (6,000 nuclear warheads) a different relationship is envisaged.

The real objective when the war with Russia broke out was to destroy the economic power of Germany which is now rearming but is harshly opposed on the economic front. The EU does not exist, there is no European vision on the matter.

The real enemy is China. Trump tries to make it clear and the EU pretends not to hear that. With respect to the great Chinese power Trump believes that the time has come for a tough economic and commercial confrontation for now, but it could degenerate into a real conflict. How much is a gamble worth?

Germany

Trump shoots high to reach a compromise. Hitting Germany by separating it from Russia is an old geopolitical objective of England and among the objectives of the current war in Ukraine. Biden treacherously cut North Stream, then prevented any fruitful commercial relationship with Russia and  forced Germany to supply weapons and buy very expensive American oil.

Germany was the leader of the EU considered an adversary. Biden achieved the result of bringing Germany to its knees and undoing the EU. Trump is replicating in an explicit and drastic way, while Biden did it sneakily and hypocritically.

German Interior Minister says: Russia will wage war and young people must learn to mobilize in the event of war. Tired theme: the Cossacks, the danger. Waving this spectre is convenient up to a certain point because it could irritate the current American presidency that has a sympathetic eye on Russia to detach it from China.

What is certain is that the European leaders are on the road to war with Russia. Who knows if this will get to war but they are preparing and their moves are conceived and interpreted by Russia with this in mind. EU people must be aware of that!

Europe has two roads ahead of it: one reduces the probability of a future war with Russia, the other increases the probability.

The EU is and remains an economic organization that is unable to transform its economic strength into political and military strength. The necessary ingredients, although insufficient, for the birth of a great military power are: a large population with a large market that allows it to build a large army by making large investments in defense. EU has an adequate population and economy but not a policy but its member states are going in different directions compared to the dominant rhetoric.

With 1,000 billion euros available there will probably be a militarily very strong Germany. Germany will not miss this historic opportunity. A colossal rearmament plan has already been approved by its Parliament.